“Then [bitcoin is] going to subsume negative-yielding sovereign debt and other monetary indexes until it grows to $100 trillion,” Saylor said, adding he would expect the bitcoin price to become less volatile as it climbed over $10 trillion.
Last week, the combined value of the 18.6 million bitcoin tokens in circulation reached $1 trillion for the first time—double the $500 billion it started 2021. The value of the gold market is put at around $12 trillion.
However, Saylor’s bitcoin price prediction of $100 trillion is bullish even for some of bitcoin’s biggest supporters.
“I’ve held a price target of $100,000 per bitcoin by the end of 2021 since I publicly wrote about it in 2019,” says Anthony Pompliano, partner at digital asset hedge fund Morgan Creek Digital, speaking over email. “[I’m] sticking with that, yet somehow have become the most conservative person in the room.”
Pompliano’s bitcoin price prediction is shared by hedge fund manager Anthony Scaramucci, whose infamous 2017 tenure as Donald Trump’s communications director lasted just 11 days. Earlier this month, Scaramucci said bitcoin could “easily trade” at $100,000 in the next 12 months.
Scaramucci said he believes money manager performance will eventually be benched off of bitcoin, with companies like MicroStrategy and electric car-maker Tesla’s bitcoin-buys helping to normalize institutional adoption.
“Bitcoin has already had a fantastic year and any further gains would indeed be a blessing,” says Mati Greenspan, the founder of market analysis company Quantum Economics, speaking via Telegram.
“The main driver lately has been the rush from multinational corporations to diversify out of fiat money and into crypto—a trend that we see as just getting started now.”
In addition, some think that this interest in bitcoin from Wall Street and major corporations will trigger fresh retail demand for bitcoin.
“With the caveats that past performance is not an indication of future results, and that bitcoin price could come down as far as it goes up, in my view a realistic peak price between now and the end of 2021 is in the $150,000-$300,000 range,” says Cory Klippsten, the chief executive of bitcoin-buying app Swan Bitcoin, speaking via Telegram.
“One major driver of demand is a spectacular increase in high quality bitcoin education breaking through the noise created by altcoin founders and fund managers with the incentive to spread misinformation. [And] the continued development and many new launches of retail platforms, funds, and trading venues are making it even easier for people everywhere to purchase bitcoin.”
However, other more skeptical investors don’t share the bitcoin community’s bullish outlook.
“I don’t think bitcoin is going to end up the medium of exchange for the world,” Munger said during an interview at the Daily Journal’s annual shareholder meeting.
“It’s too volatile to serve well as a medium of exchange. And it’s really kind of an artificial substitute for gold. And since I never buy any gold, I never buy any bitcoin.”